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FlowHFT: Imitation Learning via Flow Matching Policy for Optimal High-Frequency Trading under Diverse Market Conditions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

High-frequency trading (HFT) is an investing strategy that continuously monitors market states and places bid and ask orders at millisecond speeds. Traditional HFT approaches fit models with historical data and assume that future market states follow similar patterns. This limits the effectiveness of any single model to the specific conditions it was trained for. Additionally, these models achieve optimal solutions only under specific market conditions, such as assumptions about stock price's stochastic process, stable order flow, and the absence of sudden volatility. Real-world markets, however, are dynamic, diverse, and frequently volatile. To address these challenges, we propose the FlowHFT, a novel imitation learning framework based on flow matching policy. FlowHFT simultaneously learns strategies from numerous expert models, each proficient in particular market scenarios. As a result, our framework can adaptively adjust investment decisions according to the prevailing market state. Furthermore, FlowHFT incorporates a grid-search fine-tuning mechanism. This allows it to refine strategies and achieve superior performance even in complex or extreme market scenarios where expert strategies may be suboptimal. We test FlowHFT in multiple market environments. We first show that flow matching policy is applicable in stochastic market environments, thus enabling FlowHFT to learn trading strategies under different market conditions. Notably, our single framework consistently achieves performance superior to the best expert for each market condition.


Beyond Monte Carlo: Harnessing Diffusion Models to Simulate Financial Market Dynamics

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we present an efficient methodology for generating synthetic financial market data, based on the diffusion model approach. Diffusion models [19], [20], [6], [21], [22], a class of deep generative models, are mathematical models designed to generate synthetic data by Monte Carlo simulating a reverse-time stochastic process, which is specified as an Ito stochastic differential equation (diffusion process). The diffusion model strategy to synthetic data generation and is a two stage process: encoding and decoding. This process employs the use of linear stochastic differential equations. These models have demonstrated impressive results across various applications, including computer vision, natural language processing, time series modeling, multimodal learning, waveform signal processing, robust learning, molecular graph modeling, materials design, and inverse problem solving [26]. Despite their successes, certain aspects of diffusion models, particularly those related to the learning mechanism, require further refinement and development. Ongoing research efforts focus on addressing these performance-related challenges and enhancing the overall capabilities of diffusion modeling methodologies.


Similarity metrics for Different Market Scenarios in Abides

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) are an effective way to formally describe many Machine Learning problems. In fact, recently MDPs have also emerged as a powerful framework to model financial trading tasks. For example, financial MDPs can model different market scenarios. However, the learning of a (near-)optimal policy for each of these financial MDPs can be a very time-consuming process, especially when nothing is known about the policy to begin with. An alternative approach is to find a similar financial MDP for which we have already learned its policy, and then reuse such policy in the learning of a new policy for a new financial MDP. Such a knowledge transfer between market scenarios raises several issues. On the one hand, how to measure the similarity between financial MDPs. On the other hand, how to use this similarity measurement to effectively transfer the knowledge between financial MDPs. This paper addresses both of these issues. Regarding the first one, this paper analyzes the use of three similarity metrics based on conceptual, structural and performance aspects of the financial MDPs. Regarding the second one, this paper uses Probabilistic Policy Reuse to balance the exploitation/exploration in the learning of a new financial MDP according to the similarity of the previous financial MDPs whose knowledge is reused.


News Roundup: Machine Learning in Communication Industry 2021-2028

#artificialintelligence

The global Machine Learning in Communication market research report aims at developing a marketing strategy to enable the market participants expand their business in the global Machine Learning in Communication market. It therefore carries out a SWOT analysis of different categories of the global Machine Learning in Communication market, based on the findings of the data, trade statistics and observations compiled during the study. The report analyzes the market conditions and main market drivers which have greatly impacted the growth in the sectors involved in the global Machine Learning in Communication market. Additionally, the key challenges identified that are likely to influence the future market scenario of the global Machine Learning in Communication market. The report highlights the key emerging trends in the global Machine Learning in Communication market.



COVID-19 Impacts: Machine Learning Market will Accelerate at a CAGR of about 39% through 2020-2024

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LONDON--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Technavio has been monitoring the machine learning market and it is poised to grow by $ 11.16 bn during 2020-2024, progressing at a CAGR of about 39% during the forecast period. The report offers an up-to-date analysis regarding the current market scenario, latest trends and drivers, and the overall market environment. Technavio suggests three forecast scenarios (optimistic, probable, and pessimistic) considering the impact of COVID-19. The market is fragmented, and the degree of fragmentation will accelerate during the forecast period. Inc., SAP SE, and SAS Institute Inc. are some of the major market participants.


COVID-19: Significant Shift in Strategy of Mobile Artificial Intelligence Market 2020-2024

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Technavio is a leading global technology research and advisory company. Their research and analysis focus on emerging market trends and provides actionable insights to help businesses identify market opportunities and develop effective strategies to optimize their market positions. With over 500 specialized analysts, Technavio's report library consists of more than 17,000 reports and counting, covering 800 technologies, spanning across 50 countries. Their client base consists of enterprises of all sizes, including more than 100 Fortune 500 companies. This growing client base relies on Technavio's comprehensive coverage, extensive research, and actionable market insights to identify opportunities in existing and potential markets and assess their competitive positions within changing market scenarios.


Artificial Intelligence (AI) Market in BFSI Sector 2019-2023 Focus on Autonomous Banking to Boost Growth Technavio

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Technavio is a leading global technology research and advisory company. Their research and analysis focus on emerging market trends and provides actionable insights to help businesses identify market opportunities and develop effective strategies to optimize their market positions. With over 500 specialized analysts, Technavio's report library consists of more than 17,000 reports and counting, covering 800 technologies, spanning across 50 countries. Their client base consists of enterprises of all sizes, including more than 100 Fortune 500 companies. This growing client base relies on Technavio's comprehensive coverage, extensive research, and actionable market insights to identify opportunities in existing and potential markets and assess their competitive positions within changing market scenarios.


Analysis on Impact of COVID-19-Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Construction Market 2019-2023 Demand for Data Integration to Boost Growth Technavio

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Technavio is a leading global technology research and advisory company. Their research and analysis focus on emerging market trends and provides actionable insights to help businesses identify market opportunities and develop effective strategies to optimize their market positions. With over 500 specialized analysts, Technavio's report library consists of more than 17,000 reports and counting, covering 800 technologies, spanning across 50 countries. Their client base consists of enterprises of all sizes, including more than 100 Fortune 500 companies. This growing client base relies on Technavio's comprehensive coverage, extensive research, and actionable market insights to identify opportunities in existing and potential markets and assess their competitive positions within changing market scenarios.


Artificial Intelligence in Energy Market 2020-2024 Demand for Data Integration and Visual Analytics to Boost Growth Technavio

#artificialintelligence

Technavio is a leading global technology research and advisory company. Their research and analysis focus on emerging market trends and provides actionable insights to help businesses identify market opportunities and develop effective strategies to optimize their market positions. With over 500 specialized analysts, Technavio's report library consists of more than 17,000 reports and counting, covering 800 technologies, spanning across 50 countries. Their client base consists of enterprises of all sizes, including more than 100 Fortune 500 companies. This growing client base relies on Technavio's comprehensive coverage, extensive research, and actionable market insights to identify opportunities in existing and potential markets and assess their competitive positions within changing market scenarios.